Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Holm Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.60) 1.26 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.4% 29.4% 48.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.8%
0 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Armagh City 0 13.3% 16.8% 10.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.7% 8.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.8% 4.8% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArmagh CityArds
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack32%21%
Defense37%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Armagh City Ards
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%14%14%43%29%36%
Draws29%14%21%0%29%14%
Loses57%71%64%57%43%50%

Form: Armagh City: LLLWDDLLDWLLLL • Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLLL

League goals

Metric Armagh City Ards
HATHAT
GF total8101810818
GF avg1.11.41.31.41.11.3
GA total12193114822
GA avg1.72.72.22.01.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArmagh CityArds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%71%86%
1.521%71%43%43%
2.514%43%14%21%
3.57%14%0%7%
4.57%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArmagh CityArds
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score213134

Penalties

MetricArmagh CityArds
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricArmagh CityArds
Wins12
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-53-10-3
Biggest losses2-45-11-42-0
Goals For3533
Goals Against4542

Model comparison

MetricArmagh CityArds
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h25%75%
Goals44%56%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ards

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Superbet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Armagh City = 0.76 (league 1.60), Ards = 1.26 (league 1.49)

Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Armagh City 0 13.3% 16.8% 10.6% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.1% 12.7% 8.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.8% 4.8% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 48.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1