Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.68) 1.00 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 31.8% 37.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Loughgall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Institute 0 15.0% 15.0% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.5% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInstituteLoughgall
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack87%53%
Defense60%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Institute Loughgall
HATHAT
Played141529161329
Wins43%27%34%63%23%45%
Draws29%20%24%25%54%38%
Loses29%53%41%13%23%17%

Form: Institute: LDWLWDDLLLWDWWLWLDLLLDWDWLLWW • Loughgall: WWDWDLDDDLDWDLDDWDWLWWWLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Institute Loughgall
HATHAT
GF total211940291544
GF avg1.51.31.41.81.21.5
GA total172340141327
GA avg1.21.51.40.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInstituteLoughgall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%72%86%66%
1.534%45%48%24%
2.517%14%14%3%
3.57%7%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInstituteLoughgall
HATHAT
Clean sheets5386410
Failed to score358044

Penalties

MetricInstituteLoughgall
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricInstituteLoughgall
Wins23
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-44-00-3
Biggest losses0-44-12-32-1
Goals For6443
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricInstituteLoughgall
Form41%59%
Att62%38%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h7%93%
Goals28%72%
Total33.3%66.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Loughgall

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.47 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Institute = 0.89 (league 1.68), Loughgall = 1.00 (league 1.43)

Loughgall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Institute 0 15.0% 15.0% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.5% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.0% 6.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 37.0%

vtt 8 , vtd1