Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Wilgar Park
Match Finished
1 - 4
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.60) 1.33 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.0% 26.2% 37.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundela 0 7.2% 9.6% 6.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
1 9.4% 12.5% 8.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDundelaArds
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack47%18%
Defense35%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dundela Ards
HATHAT
Played10102091019
Wins20%0%10%33%20%26%
Draws40%30%35%11%20%16%
Loses40%70%55%56%60%58%

Form: Dundela: LLDLLDLLDLWDLDDDWLLL • Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Dundela Ards
HATHAT
GF total1682412921
GF avg1.60.81.21.30.91.1
GA total222042191332
GA avg2.22.02.12.11.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDundelaArds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%95%68%89%
1.530%80%32%42%
2.510%35%11%26%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDundelaArds
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score134156

Penalties

MetricDundelaArds
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDundelaArds
Wins12
Draws31
Losses28

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—3-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-43-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricDundelaArds
Form80%20%
Att73%27%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Double chance : Dundela or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.37 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Dundela = 1.30 (league 1.60), Ards = 1.33 (league 1.49)

Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dundela 0 7.2% 9.6% 6.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
1 9.4% 12.5% 8.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 37.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1