Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Clandeboye Park
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.60)
1.84 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.2% | 22.8% | 50.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Warrenpoint Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ards | 0 | 4.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ards | Warrenpoint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 35% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ards | Warrenpoint Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 27% | 30% | 56% | 20% | 37% |
| Draws | 11% | 18% | 15% | 22% | 30% | 26% |
| Loses | 56% | 55% | 55% | 22% | 50% | 37% |
Form: Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLLLLLLLDW • Warrenpoint Town: WLLLLWDLLWDDDWWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Ards | Warrenpoint Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 17 | 13 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 19 | 14 | 33 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ards | Warrenpoint Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 90% | 74% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 40% | 47% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 25% | 26% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 10% | 11% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ards | Warrenpoint Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ards | Warrenpoint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ards | Warrenpoint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-1 | 3-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ards | Warrenpoint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Warrenpoint Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ards = 1.22 (league 1.60), Warrenpoint Town = 1.84 (league 1.49)
| Warrenpoint Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ards | 0 | 4.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.2% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 50.7%
Vtot 3 , Vtod2