Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 • Holm Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.64) 1.51 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 26.0% 58.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Armagh City 0 11.7% 17.7% 13.4% 6.7% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.2% 8.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArmagh CityArds
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack42%50%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Armagh City Ards
HATHAT
Played111122101121
Wins18%18%18%30%27%29%
Draws18%9%14%20%18%19%
Loses64%73%68%50%55%52%

Form: Armagh City: LLLWDDLLDWLLLLWLLLWLLL • Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLLLLLLLDWD

League goals

Metric Armagh City Ards
HATHAT
GF total91524121325
GF avg0.81.41.11.21.21.2
GA total202747191433
GA avg1.82.52.11.91.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArmagh CityArds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%86%67%86%
1.518%73%33%38%
2.514%41%14%24%
3.55%9%5%10%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArmagh CityArds
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score527257

Penalties

MetricArmagh CityArds
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricArmagh CityArds
Wins12
Draws21
Losses48

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-53-11-4
Biggest losses0-35-11-43-1
Goals For3534
Goals Against4543

Model comparison

MetricArmagh CityArds
Form38%63%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h40%60%
Goals47%53%
Total39.0%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ards

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Armagh City = 0.63 (league 1.64), Ards = 1.51 (league 1.43)

Ards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Armagh City 0 11.7% 17.7% 13.4% 6.7% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.4% 11.2% 8.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 58.0%

vtt 8 , vtd1