Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 •
Holm Park
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.60)
1.45 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.7% | 26.8% | 56.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 2
12.9%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Ards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Armagh City | 0 | 12.2% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Armagh City | Ards |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 20% | 35% |
| Defense | 40% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Armagh City | Ards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| Wins | 18% | 20% | 19% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
| Draws | 18% | 10% | 14% | 11% | 18% | 15% |
| Loses | 64% | 70% | 67% | 56% | 55% | 55% |
Form: Armagh City: LLLWDDLLDWLLLLWLLLWLL • Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLLLLLLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Armagh City | Ards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 14 | 23 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Armagh City | Ards | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 86% | 70% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 71% | 35% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 43% | 15% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 10% | 5% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Armagh City | Ards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Armagh City | Ards |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Armagh City | Ards |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Armagh City | Ards |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ards
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Armagh City = 0.65 (league 1.60), Ards = 1.45 (league 1.49)
| Ards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Armagh City | 0 | 12.2% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 56.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1