Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 •
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.60)
1.11 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.2% | 30.5% | 40.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.9%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Newington Youth | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Institute | 0 | 13.4% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Institute | Newington Youth |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 25% | 60% |
| Defense | 40% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Institute | Newington Youth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 56% | 20% | 37% |
| Draws | 30% | 20% | 25% | 11% | 40% | 26% |
| Loses | 30% | 60% | 45% | 33% | 40% | 37% |
Form: Institute: LDWLWDDLLLWDWWLWLDLL • Newington Youth: DLLLWDWWWLLWDWLDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Institute | Newington Youth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 18 | 29 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Institute | Newington Youth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 75% | 79% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 50% | 63% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 32% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 21% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Institute | Newington Youth | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Institute | Newington Youth |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Institute | Newington Youth |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-5 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Institute | Newington Youth |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Newington Youth
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Institute = 0.90 (league 1.60), Newington Youth = 1.11 (league 1.49)
| Newington Youth | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Institute | 0 | 13.4% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 40.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1