Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 •
Lakeview Park
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.67)
1.02 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.4% | 26.9% | 27.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.5%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Loughgall | 0 | 8.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Loughgall | Ards |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 63% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Loughgall | Ards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 14 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 63% | 21% | 43% | 40% | 29% | 34% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 37% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
| Loses | 13% | 29% | 20% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
Form: Loughgall: WWDWDLDDDLDWDLDDWDWLWWWLWWDWWL • Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLLLLLLLDWDWLDWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Loughgall | Ards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 15 | 44 | 20 | 23 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 15 | 29 | 24 | 18 | 42 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Loughgall | Ards | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 69% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 27% | 45% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 3% | 14% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Loughgall | Ards | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Loughgall | Ards |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Loughgall | Ards |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Loughgall | Ards |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 53.2% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Loughgall or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Loughgall = 1.40 (league 1.67), Ards = 1.02 (league 1.42)
| Ards | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Loughgall | 0 | 8.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 27.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1