Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:00 • Clandeboye Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.64) 1.22 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.1% 28.1% 38.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Warrenpoint Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ards 0 9.7% 11.9% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.0% 7.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
Played55
Form67%0%
Attack73%27%
Defense55%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ards Warrenpoint Town
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins40%29%34%44%19%31%
Draws20%24%22%13%25%19%
Loses40%47%44%44%56%50%

Form: Ards: WDLWWLLWDWLLLLLLLLDWDWLDWLDWWLWD • Warrenpoint Town: WLLLLWDLLWDDDWWLDWWDLWLLLWWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Ards Warrenpoint Town
HATHAT
GF total202747261844
GF avg1.31.61.51.61.11.4
GA total242246242347
GA avg1.61.31.41.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArdsWarrenpoint Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%59%78%
1.544%38%38%34%
2.513%22%22%22%
3.56%6%13%9%
4.53%0%6%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score3694913

Penalties

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
Wins22
Draws13
Losses84

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-85-21-5
Biggest losses1-43-10-34-0
Goals For3855
Goals Against4354

Model comparison

MetricArdsWarrenpoint Town
Form100%0%
Att73%27%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Ards or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ Betano
Away4.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ards = 1.11 (league 1.64), Warrenpoint Town = 1.22 (league 1.44)

Warrenpoint Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ards 0 9.7% 11.9% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.0% 7.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 38.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1