Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 21:05 • Estadio Municipal de Pilar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.11) 0.74 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 26.4% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Villa San Carlos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Pilar 0 10.8% 8.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.9% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal PilarVilla San Carlos
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Pilar Villa San Carlos
HATHAT
Played161632171633
Wins44%50%47%53%31%42%
Draws38%31%34%29%25%27%
Loses19%19%19%18%44%30%

Form: Real Pilar: WWWDLWDWDLDDWWLWDWWLDWDDWWDLLWDW • Villa San Carlos: WWWWLDLWLWLWDLLDWWLLWWDWDDWLLDDDW

League goals

Metric Real Pilar Villa San Carlos
HATHAT
GF total241438291140
GF avg1.50.91.21.70.71.2
GA total14923211839
GA avg0.90.60.71.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal PilarVilla San Carlos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%53%76%67%
1.531%16%42%33%
2.59%3%3%12%
3.53%0%0%6%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal PilarVilla San Carlos
HATHAT
Clean sheets69154711
Failed to score369268

Penalties

MetricReal PilarVilla San Carlos
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total92

Streaks

MetricReal PilarVilla San Carlos
Wins34
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-32-02-44-0
Goals For5232
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricReal PilarVilla San Carlos
Form54%46%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total56.6%43.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Pilar or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away5.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Pilar = 1.48 (league 1.11), Villa San Carlos = 0.74 (league 0.85)

Villa San Carlos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Pilar 0 10.8% 8.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.1% 11.9% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1