Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Beto Larrosa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.12) 0.80 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 32.9% 28.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.8%
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sportivo Italiano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacachispas 0 16.8% 13.5% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.1% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSacachispasSportivo Italiano
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack40%13%
Defense67%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sacachispas Sportivo Italiano
HATHAT
Played171734171633
Wins18%18%18%41%13%27%
Draws59%35%47%35%50%42%
Loses24%47%35%24%38%30%

Form: Sacachispas: DDLLDDLDDLWDLDLLLDLWDDLWWDDLWDDWDL • Sportivo Italiano: DDDDLLLDDLDLWWDLWDLWLWWDWLWLDDDDW

League goals

Metric Sacachispas Sportivo Italiano
HATHAT
GF total191029191029
GF avg1.10.60.91.10.60.9
GA total191837101626
GA avg1.11.11.10.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSacachispasSportivo Italiano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%71%55%58%
1.518%26%24%21%
2.56%12%6%0%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSacachispasSportivo Italiano
HATHAT
Clean sheets37109514
Failed to score310138715

Penalties

MetricSacachispasSportivo Italiano
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricSacachispasSportivo Italiano
Wins22
Draws24
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-00-22-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricSacachispasSportivo Italiano
Form46%54%
Att75%25%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sacachispas or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ Bet365
Away2.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sacachispas = 0.98 (league 1.12), Sportivo Italiano = 0.80 (league 0.82)

Sportivo Italiano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sacachispas 0 16.8% 13.5% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.1% 6.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 28.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1