Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Carlos V
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.12) 0.62 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 36.4% 24.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.4%
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Villa Dalmine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flandria 0 22.4% 14.0% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.5% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlandriaVilla Dalmine
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack15%54%
Defense92%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flandria Villa Dalmine
HATHAT
Played161733171734
Wins31%24%27%41%18%29%
Draws38%47%42%24%47%35%
Loses31%29%30%35%35%35%

Form: Flandria: DWLLLDWLLDWLWDDLDDWLWWDLWDDDDLDDW • Villa Dalmine: DDLDWDLDDWWLWDDWLLLLLLLDDWDWLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Flandria Villa Dalmine
HATHAT
GF total111021171532
GF avg0.70.60.61.00.90.9
GA total101323172340
GA avg0.60.80.71.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlandriaVilla Dalmine
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%48%62%74%
1.512%15%24%29%
2.50%6%6%9%
3.50%0%3%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlandriaVilla Dalmine
HATHAT
Clean sheets71017549
Failed to score610165813

Penalties

MetricFlandriaVilla Dalmine
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricFlandriaVilla Dalmine
Wins22
Draws42
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-00-24-0
Goals For2234
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricFlandriaVilla Dalmine
Form38%63%
Att22%78%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total56.7%43.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Flandria or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flandria = 0.87 (league 1.12), Villa Dalmine = 0.62 (league 0.87)

Villa Dalmine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flandria 0 22.4% 14.0% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.5% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 36.4% · Away win 24.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1