Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.12) 1.34 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 24.3% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Argentino Quilmes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Dalmine 0 5.3% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.3% 7.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.1% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVilla DalmineArgentino Quilmes
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack86%86%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villa Dalmine Argentino Quilmes
HATHAT
Played171835181836
Wins41%17%29%33%17%25%
Draws24%44%34%56%28%42%
Loses35%39%37%11%56%33%

Form: Villa Dalmine: DDLDWDLDDWWLWDDWLLLLLLLDDWDWLLDWWWL • Argentino Quilmes: WLDDWDWLDLDWDDWDLLDLWDLDLDDWLWWLLDLD

League goals

Metric Villa Dalmine Argentino Quilmes
HATHAT
GF total171532231942
GF avg1.00.80.91.31.11.2
GA total172542153348
GA avg1.01.41.20.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVilla DalmineArgentino Quilmes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%74%69%75%
1.523%31%42%36%
2.56%9%6%17%
3.53%6%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVilla DalmineArgentino Quilmes
HATHAT
Clean sheets549729
Failed to score59145611

Penalties

MetricVilla DalmineArgentino Quilmes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricVilla DalmineArgentino Quilmes
Wins32
Draws22
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-25-2
Goals For3432
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricVilla DalmineArgentino Quilmes
Form83%17%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Villa Dalmine or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.94 @ Marathonbet
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villa Dalmine = 1.61 (league 1.12), Argentino Quilmes = 1.34 (league 0.82)

Argentino Quilmes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Dalmine 0 5.3% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.3% 7.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 9.1% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 31.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1