Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 21:00 • Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.11) 0.63 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 37.7% 26.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Villa San Carlos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Merlo 0 24.0% 15.2% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.0% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MerloVilla San Carlos
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack17%42%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Merlo Villa San Carlos
HATHAT
Played181836181735
Wins28%22%25%50%29%40%
Draws33%39%36%33%24%29%
Loses39%39%39%17%47%31%

Form: Deportivo Merlo: LLWDDDWWWLLWDLDWDDLWLWLDLDDLDLWLDLLD • Villa San Carlos: WWWWLDLWLWLWDLLDWWLLWWDWDDWLLDDDWLD

League goals

Metric Deportivo Merlo Villa San Carlos
HATHAT
GF total141428311142
GF avg0.80.80.81.70.61.2
GA total162137231942
GA avg0.91.21.01.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MerloVilla San Carlos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%67%74%69%
1.519%28%43%34%
2.56%8%3%11%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MerloVilla San Carlos
HATHAT
Clean sheets75124711
Failed to score9817279

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MerloVilla San Carlos
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MerloVilla San Carlos
Wins34
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-02-44-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MerloVilla San Carlos
Form25%75%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Villa San Carlos and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.04 @ Pinnacle
Away3.25 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Merlo = 0.79 (league 1.11), Villa San Carlos = 0.63 (league 0.85)

Villa San Carlos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Merlo 0 24.0% 15.2% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 19.0% 12.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 37.7% · Away win 26.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1