Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:30 • Francisco Boga Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.11) 0.35 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.4% 29.3% 10.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.0%
0 - 0
19.4%
2 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
UAI Urquiza
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín Burzaco 0 19.4% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Martín BurzacoUAI Urquiza
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack71%43%
Defense29%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Martín Burzaco UAI Urquiza
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins53%11%31%28%18%23%
Draws35%33%34%50%47%49%
Loses12%56%34%22%35%29%

Form: San Martín Burzaco: DDWLDWWDWLLWLLDLDLWLDDDDLWDWLWDWLWL • UAI Urquiza: LLWDDWDLLDDDDDWDDWWDDLWDDLDLLDLLDWW

League goals

Metric San Martín Burzaco UAI Urquiza
HATHAT
GF total221436131124
GF avg1.30.81.00.70.60.7
GA total92938141933
GA avg0.51.61.10.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Martín BurzacoUAI Urquiza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%66%51%60%
1.523%29%17%26%
2.59%6%0%9%
3.53%6%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Martín BurzacoUAI Urquiza
HATHAT
Clean sheets102128614
Failed to score47118917

Penalties

MetricSan Martín BurzacoUAI Urquiza
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSan Martín BurzacoUAI Urquiza
Wins22
Draws45
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-11-2
Biggest losses1-25-00-23-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricSan Martín BurzacoUAI Urquiza
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total52.0%48.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : San Martín Burzaco or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away4.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.73 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Martín Burzaco = 1.29 (league 1.11), UAI Urquiza = 0.35 (league 0.85)

UAI Urquiza
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Martín Burzaco 0 19.4% 6.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 10.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1