Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 18:30 • Juan Antonio Arias Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.11) 1.41 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 23.2% 30.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Excursionistas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liniers 0 4.2% 6.0% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.2% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiniersExcursionistas
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack67%83%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liniers Excursionistas
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins35%33%34%61%24%43%
Draws12%33%23%28%18%23%
Loses53%33%43%11%59%34%

Form: Liniers: LDLWWWWDWLWDLWLLLLLWLLWLDDDLDDLWLWW • Excursionistas: LDLDDWWDLDLWWWWLWWLWLLLDWLWWDLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Liniers Excursionistas
HATHAT
GF total222143241741
GF avg1.31.21.21.31.01.2
GA total202343102535
GA avg1.21.31.20.61.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiniersExcursionistas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%74%60%
1.529%37%26%34%
2.517%11%14%6%
3.56%3%3%0%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiniersExcursionistas
HATHAT
Clean sheets651111314
Failed to score7411459

Penalties

MetricLiniersExcursionistas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total28

Streaks

MetricLiniersExcursionistas
Wins44
Draws32
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-35-10-22-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricLiniersExcursionistas
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total39.5%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Excursionistas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liniers = 1.75 (league 1.11), Excursionistas = 1.41 (league 0.85)

Excursionistas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liniers 0 4.2% 6.0% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.2% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 30.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1