Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio de San Miguel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.11) 1.06 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.1% 33.8% 49.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.4%
0 - 0
21.2%
0 - 2
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Brown DE Adrogue
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fénix 0 21.2% 22.4% 11.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.5% 11.1% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFénixBrown DE Adrogue
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack57%29%
Defense14%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fénix Brown DE Adrogue
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins12%6%9%33%35%34%
Draws47%28%37%39%29%34%
Loses41%67%54%28%35%31%

Form: Fénix: WLLLDDLDLLDLDLLLDLDLDLDDWDLLLDDLLWL • Brown DE Adrogue: WWLDWLDWLWDDLLDWDWDLDWLLWDWWWDDLLLD

League goals

Metric Fénix Brown DE Adrogue
HATHAT
GF total91019181634
GF avg0.50.60.51.00.91.0
GA total173148151833
GA avg1.01.71.40.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFénixBrown DE Adrogue
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%80%66%63%
1.59%40%20%23%
2.53%11%9%6%
3.50%3%3%3%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFénixBrown DE Adrogue
HATHAT
Clean sheets5277613
Failed to score1010207512

Penalties

MetricFénixBrown DE Adrogue
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFénixBrown DE Adrogue
Wins13
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-14-11-3
Biggest losses0-25-10-34-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricFénixBrown DE Adrogue
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Brown DE Adrogue and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.30 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fénix = 0.49 (league 1.11), Brown DE Adrogue = 1.06 (league 0.85)

Brown DE Adrogue
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fénix 0 21.2% 22.4% 11.8% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.5% 11.1% 5.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 49.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1