Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.11) 0.75 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 24.5% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Villa Dalmine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Argentino de Merlo 0 9.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArgentino de MerloVilla Dalmine
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack90%60%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Argentino de Merlo Villa Dalmine
HATHAT
Played181937181836
Wins44%37%41%44%17%31%
Draws28%26%27%22%44%33%
Loses28%37%32%33%39%36%

Form: Argentino de Merlo: LDLDDLWWLWWDDWLWWWWWLWLDDLLWDDLDWWLWL • Villa Dalmine: DDLDWDLDDWWLWDDWLLLLLLLDDWDWLLDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Argentino de Merlo Villa Dalmine
HATHAT
GF total242145181533
GF avg1.31.11.21.00.80.9
GA total152136172542
GA avg0.81.11.00.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArgentino de MerloVilla Dalmine
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%65%61%72%
1.538%27%22%31%
2.511%5%6%8%
3.53%0%3%6%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArgentino de MerloVilla Dalmine
HATHAT
Clean sheets67136410
Failed to score48125914

Penalties

MetricArgentino de MerloVilla Dalmine
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricArgentino de MerloVilla Dalmine
Wins53
Draws22
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-32-01-4
Biggest losses0-23-00-24-0
Goals For5334
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricArgentino de MerloVilla Dalmine
Form43%57%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%63%
Total50.2%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Argentino de Merlo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Argentino de Merlo = 1.64 (league 1.11), Villa Dalmine = 0.75 (league 0.85)

Villa Dalmine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Argentino de Merlo 0 9.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.0% 11.3% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1