Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.12) 0.93 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.7% 24.9% 21.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Argentino Quilmes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brown DE Adrogue 0 7.9% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrown DE AdrogueArgentino Quilmes
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack27%20%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brown DE Adrogue Argentino Quilmes
HATHAT
Played191938191938
Wins32%32%32%37%16%26%
Draws42%32%37%53%26%39%
Loses26%37%32%11%58%34%

Form: Brown DE Adrogue: WWLDWLDWLWDDLLDWDWDLDWLLWDWWWDDLLLDDDL • Argentino Quilmes: WLDDWDWLDLDWDDWDLLDLWDLDLDDWLWWLLDLDLW

League goals

Metric Brown DE Adrogue Argentino Quilmes
HATHAT
GF total191736241943
GF avg1.00.90.91.31.01.1
GA total162036153449
GA avg0.81.10.90.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrown DE AdrogueArgentino Quilmes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%66%68%74%
1.518%21%39%34%
2.58%5%5%16%
3.53%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrown DE AdrogueArgentino Quilmes
HATHAT
Clean sheets76138210
Failed to score76135712

Penalties

MetricBrown DE AdrogueArgentino Quilmes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBrown DE AdrogueArgentino Quilmes
Wins32
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-25-2
Goals For4332
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricBrown DE AdrogueArgentino Quilmes
Form38%63%
Att57%43%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total50.2%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Brown DE Adrogue or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.15 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brown DE Adrogue = 1.61 (league 1.12), Argentino Quilmes = 0.93 (league 0.86)

Argentino Quilmes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brown DE Adrogue 0 7.9% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.7% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1