Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 20:00 •
Francisco Boga Stadium
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.12)
0.47 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.0% | 23.9% | 10.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
2 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Merlo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Martín Burzaco | 0 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 69% | 23% |
| Defense | 46% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Merlo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 20 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 53% | 15% | 33% | 25% | 21% | 23% |
| Draws | 37% | 30% | 33% | 35% | 42% | 38% |
| Loses | 11% | 55% | 33% | 40% | 37% | 38% |
Form: San Martín Burzaco: DDWLDWWDWLLWLLDLDLWLDDDDLWDWLWDWLWLWLDW • Deportivo Merlo: LLWDDDWWWLLWDLDWDDLWLWLDLDDLDLWLDLLDDDL
League goals
| Metric | San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Merlo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 17 | 45 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 34 | 44 | 18 | 22 | 40 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Merlo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 67% | 54% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 28% | 18% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 8% | 5% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Merlo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Advice: Double chance : San Martín Burzaco or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): San Martín Burzaco = 1.61 (league 1.12), Deportivo Merlo = 0.47 (league 0.86)
| Deportivo Merlo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Martín Burzaco | 0 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 10.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1