Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.12) 1.25 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 27.1% 36.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Excursionistas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Dalmine 0 8.3% 10.3% 6.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.3% 12.8% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVilla DalmineExcursionistas
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack38%54%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villa Dalmine Excursionistas
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins47%15%31%55%26%41%
Draws21%45%33%25%16%21%
Loses32%40%36%20%58%38%

Form: Villa Dalmine: DDLDWDLDDWWLWDDWLLLLLLLDDWDWLLDWWWLWLWD • Excursionistas: LDLDDWWDLDLWWWWLWWLWLLLDWLWWDLWDWLWLLWL

League goals

Metric Villa Dalmine Excursionistas
HATHAT
GF total191837252247
GF avg1.00.90.91.31.21.2
GA total173047132740
GA avg0.91.51.20.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVilla DalmineExcursionistas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%72%72%64%
1.523%33%26%33%
2.55%10%15%5%
3.53%5%5%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVilla DalmineExcursionistas
HATHAT
Clean sheets741111314
Failed to score59145611

Penalties

MetricVilla DalmineExcursionistas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total28

Streaks

MetricVilla DalmineExcursionistas
Wins34
Draws22
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-01-5
Biggest losses0-24-00-22-0
Goals For3445
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricVilla DalmineExcursionistas
Form54%46%
Att42%58%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Villa Dalmine or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.45 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.52 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villa Dalmine = 1.25 (league 1.12), Excursionistas = 1.25 (league 0.87)

Excursionistas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Dalmine 0 8.3% 10.3% 6.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.3% 12.8% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 36.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1