Liga I — Romania
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:30 • Stadionul Nicolae Dobrin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.31) 0.56 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.3% 30.5% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.6%
0 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Petrolul Ploiesti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arges Pitesti 0 16.9% 9.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArges PitestiPetrolul Ploiesti
Played55
Form87%0%
Attack90%10%
Defense60%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arges Pitesti Petrolul Ploiesti
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins80%50%64%0%17%9%
Draws0%17%9%20%33%27%
Loses20%33%27%80%50%64%

Form: Arges Pitesti: LLWWLWWWDWW • Petrolul Ploiesti: DLWLDDLLLLL

League goals

Metric Arges Pitesti Petrolul Ploiesti
HATHAT
GF total81018257
GF avg1.61.71.60.40.80.6
GA total49138614
GA avg0.81.51.21.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArges PitestiPetrolul Ploiesti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%55%45%82%
1.555%36%9%36%
2.518%27%9%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArges PitestiPetrolul Ploiesti
HATHAT
Clean sheets235022
Failed to score101336

Penalties

MetricArges PitestiPetrolul Ploiesti
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricArges PitestiPetrolul Ploiesti
Wins31
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-2—0-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-32-0
Goals For3313
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricArges PitestiPetrolul Ploiesti
Form100%0%
Att90%10%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total66.6%33.4%

Advice: Double chance : Arges Pitesti or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away4.65 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arges Pitesti = 1.22 (league 1.31), Petrolul Ploiesti = 0.56 (league 1.14)

Petrolul Ploiesti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arges Pitesti 0 16.9% 9.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.3% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1