Liga I — Romania
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 18:30 • Stadionul Nicolae Dobrin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.32) 1.03 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 28.0% 29.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.7%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Universitatea Craiova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arges Pitesti 0 9.9% 10.2% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArges PitestiUniversitatea Craiova
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack13%38%
Defense75%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arges Pitesti Universitatea Craiova
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins57%44%50%67%29%50%
Draws14%22%19%22%43%31%
Loses29%33%31%11%29%19%

Form: Arges Pitesti: LLWWLWWWDWWLDDWL • Universitatea Craiova: DWWWWWWDWLDLWDDL

League goals

Metric Arges Pitesti Universitatea Craiova
HATHAT
GF total9112018927
GF avg1.31.21.32.01.31.7
GA total611179918
GA avg0.91.21.11.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArges PitestiUniversitatea Craiova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%56%81%75%
1.538%31%63%31%
2.513%19%25%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArges PitestiUniversitatea Craiova
HATHAT
Clean sheets257314
Failed to score224033

Penalties

MetricArges PitestiUniversitatea Craiova
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricArges PitestiUniversitatea Craiova
Wins36
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-12-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-21-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricArges PitestiUniversitatea Craiova
Form50%50%
Att25%75%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Universitatea Craiova and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arges Pitesti = 1.28 (league 1.32), Universitatea Craiova = 1.03 (league 1.14)

Universitatea Craiova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arges Pitesti 0 9.9% 10.2% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.7% 13.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 29.7%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1