Liga I — Romania
Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 15:30 • Arena Francisc Neuman
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.34) 1.29 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.2% 28.6% 46.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Petrolul Ploiesti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uta Arad 0 11.5% 14.8% 9.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUta AradPetrolul Ploiesti
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack60%60%
Defense20%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Uta Arad Petrolul Ploiesti
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%33%33%22%22%22%
Draws44%33%39%33%44%39%
Loses22%33%28%44%33%39%

Form: Uta Arad: DDWWWDDLDDDLLLWWLW • Petrolul Ploiesti: DLWLDDLLLLLWWDDDDW

League goals

Metric Uta Arad Petrolul Ploiesti
HATHAT
GF total1210227815
GF avg1.31.11.20.80.90.8
GA total1414289817
GA avg1.61.61.61.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUta AradPetrolul Ploiesti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%83%56%67%
1.539%39%11%22%
2.511%22%11%6%
3.50%11%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUta AradPetrolul Ploiesti
HATHAT
Clean sheets303336
Failed to score325538

Penalties

MetricUta AradPetrolul Ploiesti
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricUta AradPetrolul Ploiesti
Wins32
Draws34
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-10-3
Biggest losses0-44-00-32-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricUta AradPetrolul Ploiesti
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Uta Arad or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Uta Arad = 0.87 (league 1.34), Petrolul Ploiesti = 1.29 (league 1.12)

Petrolul Ploiesti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uta Arad 0 11.5% 14.8% 9.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.4% 5.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.2% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 46.0%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1