League Two — England
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:45 • The Wham Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.40) 1.88 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.5% 21.5% 38.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
7.8%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Tranmere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 2.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.4% 8.3% 7.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.8% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STTranmere
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack55%73%
Defense27%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Tranmere
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%14%33%23%
Draws33%14%23%57%33%46%
Loses33%71%54%29%33%31%

Form: Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLLWL • Tranmere: DWDWLLDLDDLWD

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Tranmere
HATHAT
GF total841281321
GF avg1.30.60.91.12.21.6
GA total6101671219
GA avg1.01.41.21.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STTranmere
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%77%85%77%
1.515%38%38%38%
2.58%8%23%23%
3.58%0%15%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STTranmere
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score145202

Penalties

MetricAccrington STTranmere
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAccrington STTranmere
Wins21
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-01-4
Biggest losses1-32-00-24-2
Goals For4244
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STTranmere
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tranmere

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away2.78 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 1.85 (league 1.40), Tranmere = 1.88 (league 1.17)

Tranmere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 2.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.4% 8.3% 7.8% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.5% 4.8% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 38.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1