Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • SO Legal Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.38) 2.29 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.6% 15.6% 74.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.0%
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 3
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barrow 0 6.1% 14.0% 16.0% 12.2% 7.0% 3.2%
1 3.1% 7.1% 8.1% 6.2% 3.5% 1.6%
2 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarrowSwindon Town
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack57%100%
Defense29%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barrow Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%67%67%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses67%67%67%33%33%33%

Form: Barrow: LLWLWL • Swindon Town: LWWLWW

League goals

Metric Barrow Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total2245611
GF avg0.70.70.71.72.01.8
GA total426538
GA avg1.30.71.01.71.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarrowSwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%83%83%83%
1.533%17%67%50%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarrowSwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricBarrowSwindon Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBarrowSwindon Town
Wins12
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-20-3
Biggest losses0-21-00-22-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricBarrowSwindon Town
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Winner : Swindon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ SBO
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barrow = 0.51 (league 1.38), Swindon Town = 2.29 (league 1.14)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barrow 0 6.1% 14.0% 16.0% 12.2% 7.0% 3.2%
1 3.1% 7.1% 8.1% 6.2% 3.5% 1.6%
2 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.6% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 74.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1