Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • EV Charger Points Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.28 (league 1.38) 0.45 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.7% 54.5% 28.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
48.2%
0 - 1
21.6%
1 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 48.2% 21.6% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 6.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCheltenhamAccrington ST
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack29%43%
Defense0%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cheltenham Accrington ST
HATHAT
Played336235
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%17%100%33%60%
Loses100%67%83%0%67%40%

Form: Cheltenham: LLLLLD • Accrington ST: DLLDD

League goals

Metric Cheltenham Accrington ST
HATHAT
GF total112213
GF avg0.30.30.31.00.30.6
GA total5712246
GA avg1.72.32.01.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCheltenhamAccrington ST
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%60%80%
1.50%50%0%40%
2.50%17%0%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCheltenhamAccrington ST
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score224022

Penalties

MetricCheltenhamAccrington ST
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCheltenhamAccrington ST
Wins00
Draws01
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses0-25-02-0
Goals For1111
Goals Against2512

Model comparison

MetricCheltenhamAccrington ST
Form25%75%
Att40%60%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Accrington ST and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Betway
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cheltenham = 0.28 (league 1.38), Accrington ST = 0.45 (league 1.14)

Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 48.2% 21.6% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 6.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 54.5% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1