League Two — England
Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 14:00 • Stadium MK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.40) 0.44 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 24.3% 10.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.0%
2 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 13.4% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 9.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsGrimsby
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense57%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Grimsby
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%67%50%67%33%50%
Draws33%33%33%0%67%33%
Loses33%0%17%33%0%17%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWL • Grimsby: WDWWDL

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Grimsby
HATHAT
GF total55105510
GF avg1.71.71.71.71.71.7
GA total123246
GA avg0.30.70.50.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsGrimsby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%83%67%
1.550%0%50%17%
2.517%0%33%17%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsGrimsby
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score202101

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsGrimsby
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsGrimsby
Wins22
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-1—0-1—
Goals For5233
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsGrimsby
Form56%44%
Att59%41%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ SBO
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 1.57 (league 1.40), Grimsby = 0.44 (league 1.16)

Grimsby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 13.4% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.0% 9.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.7% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 10.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1