Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadium MK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.38) 0.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.8% 21.2% 5.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.9%
2 - 0
20.3%
0 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 14.1% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 6.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.3% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsAccrington ST
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack40%20%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Accrington ST
HATHAT
Played448347
Wins25%50%38%33%0%14%
Draws25%50%38%67%25%43%
Loses50%0%25%0%75%43%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLD • Accrington ST: DLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Accrington ST
HATHAT
GF total7613314
GF avg1.81.51.61.00.30.6
GA total437257
GA avg1.00.80.90.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsAccrington ST
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%57%71%
1.550%13%0%29%
2.513%13%0%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsAccrington ST
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score202033

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsAccrington ST
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsAccrington ST
Wins20
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-21-0
Biggest losses2-32-0
Goals For5211
Goals Against3112

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsAccrington ST
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.49 @ 188Bet
Draw4.67 @ Pinnacle
Away6.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 1.69 (league 1.38), Accrington ST = 0.26 (league 1.14)

Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 14.1% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 6.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.3% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 5.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1