League Two — England
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Meadow Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.39) 0.90 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 19.3% 14.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 4.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.1% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotts CountyCrawley Town
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack69%46%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notts County Crawley Town
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%25%25%25%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%50%38%50%50%50%

Form: Notts County: DLLWDWWL • Crawley Town: LLLDLDWW

League goals

Metric Notts County Crawley Town
HATHAT
GF total8412437
GF avg2.01.01.51.00.80.9
GA total55105611
GA avg1.31.31.31.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotts CountyCrawley Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%63%75%
1.538%38%25%50%
2.513%0%0%13%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotts CountyCrawley Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricNotts CountyCrawley Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNotts CountyCrawley Town
Wins20
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-10-23-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricNotts CountyCrawley Town
Form56%44%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h71%29%
Goals61%39%
Total62.2%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Notts County or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away3.45 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Pinnacle
No2.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Notts County = 2.16 (league 1.39), Crawley Town = 0.90 (league 1.15)

Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 4.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.1% 9.1% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 14.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1