Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • The Peninsula Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.38) 3.03 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.1% 14.5% 63.5%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
0 - 3
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salford City 0 1.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.1% 4.6% 2.8%
1 1.7% 5.2% 7.8% 7.9% 6.0% 3.6%
2 1.1% 3.4% 5.1% 5.2% 3.9% 2.4%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSalford CitySwindon Town
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack53%73%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Salford City Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%75%63%75%75%75%
Draws25%0%13%0%0%0%
Loses25%25%25%25%25%25%

Form: Salford City: LWWWLDWW • Swindon Town: LWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Salford City Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total76138917
GF avg1.81.51.62.02.32.1
GA total6396410
GA avg1.50.81.11.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSalford CitySwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%88%88%
1.550%13%75%38%
2.525%13%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSalford CitySwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricSalford CitySwindon Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSalford CitySwindon Town
Wins32
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-31-00-22-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricSalford CitySwindon Town
Form45%55%
Att42%58%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Swindon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Salford City = 1.30 (league 1.38), Swindon Town = 3.03 (league 1.14)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Salford City 0 1.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.1% 4.6% 2.8%
1 1.7% 5.2% 7.8% 7.9% 6.0% 3.6%
2 1.1% 3.4% 5.1% 5.2% 3.9% 2.4%
3 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.1% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 63.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1