League Two — England
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.39) 2.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 19.5% 66.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.2%
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 6.3% 12.9% 13.2% 9.0% 4.6% 1.9%
1 4.5% 9.2% 9.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.6% 3.3% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyGillingham
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack27%60%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Gillingham
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%25%13%100%25%63%
Draws25%25%25%0%75%38%
Loses75%50%63%0%0%0%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLD • Gillingham: DWDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Newport County Gillingham
HATHAT
GF total4487512
GF avg1.01.01.01.81.31.5
GA total7613145
GA avg1.81.51.60.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyGillingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%100%50%
1.525%50%25%13%
2.50%13%13%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyGillingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyGillingham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyGillingham
Wins13
Draws11
Losses50

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-10-1
Biggest losses2-32-0——
Goals For2242
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyGillingham
Form7%93%
Att31%69%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total35.2%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gillingham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away2.02 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 0.72 (league 1.39), Gillingham = 2.05 (league 1.14)

Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 6.3% 12.9% 13.2% 9.0% 4.6% 1.9%
1 4.5% 9.2% 9.5% 6.5% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.6% 3.3% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 66.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1