Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 11:30 • Alexandra Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.38) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.8% 29.9% 40.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 12.5% 14.2% 8.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCreweNotts County
Played55
Form7%67%
Attack9%41%
Defense64%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crewe Notts County
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%60%25%44%
Draws0%20%11%20%25%22%
Loses50%40%44%20%50%33%

Form: Crewe: WWWWLLDLL • Notts County: DLLWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Crewe Notts County
HATHAT
GF total481212416
GF avg1.01.61.32.41.01.8
GA total55105510
GA avg1.31.01.11.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCreweNotts County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%89%78%
1.533%22%44%33%
2.522%11%22%0%
3.511%0%22%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCreweNotts County
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricCreweNotts County
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCreweNotts County
Wins42
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-01-2
Biggest losses0-31-01-22-1
Goals For2442
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricCreweNotts County
Form9%91%
Att18%82%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h93%7%
Goals90%10%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Notts County

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away3.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crewe = 0.94 (league 1.38), Notts County = 1.14 (league 1.14)

Notts County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crewe 0 12.5% 14.2% 8.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.4% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 40.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1