League Two — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Priestfield Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.40) 0.21 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.2% 17.0% 3.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.8%
2 - 0
22.0%
3 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Harrogate Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 11.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.0% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGillinghamHarrogate Town
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack36%18%
Defense86%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gillingham Harrogate Town
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%40%67%40%25%33%
Draws0%60%33%20%25%22%
Loses0%0%0%40%50%44%

Form: Gillingham: DWDWWWDWW • Harrogate Town: WDDWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Gillingham Harrogate Town
HATHAT
GF total78157310
GF avg1.81.61.71.40.81.1
GA total1566612
GA avg0.31.00.71.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGillinghamHarrogate Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%56%78%67%
1.533%11%22%44%
2.522%0%11%22%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGillinghamHarrogate Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricGillinghamHarrogate Town
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricGillinghamHarrogate Town
Wins31
Draws12
Losses04

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-00-1
Biggest losses——1-23-1
Goals For4331
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricGillinghamHarrogate Town
Form81%19%
Att67%33%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Gillingham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 1xBet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away5.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gillingham = 1.93 (league 1.40), Harrogate Town = 0.21 (league 1.15)

Harrogate Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gillingham 0 11.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.0% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.2% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 3.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1