League Two — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • The Croud Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.17 (league 1.40) 1.67 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.4% 20.7% 75.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.5%
0 - 2
22.1%
0 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 15.9% 26.5% 22.1% 12.3% 5.1% 1.7%
1 2.7% 4.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburyMilton Keynes Dons
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack25%30%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%20%11%20%50%33%
Draws50%0%22%20%50%33%
Loses50%80%67%60%0%33%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLL • Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDL

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
GF total1568614
GF avg0.31.00.71.61.51.6
GA total51318639
GA avg1.32.62.01.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburyMilton Keynes Dons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%78%78%67%
1.511%67%44%22%
2.511%33%11%11%
3.50%22%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburyMilton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score325202

Penalties

MetricShrewsburyMilton Keynes Dons
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricShrewsburyMilton Keynes Dons
Wins12
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-35-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-02-3—
Goals For1352
Goals Against3431

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburyMilton Keynes Dons
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h80%20%
Goals62%38%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Shrewsbury or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.43 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 0.17 (league 1.40), Milton Keynes Dons = 1.67 (league 1.17)

Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 15.9% 26.5% 22.1% 12.3% 5.1% 1.7%
1 2.7% 4.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 75.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1