League Two — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.39) 0.88 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 21.4% 16.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.6%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 6.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.6% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.3% 9.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldNewport County
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack35%25%
Defense65%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Newport County
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%0%25%11%
Draws50%20%33%20%25%22%
Loses0%40%22%80%50%67%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDD • Newport County: DWLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Newport County
HATHAT
GF total7714549
GF avg1.81.41.61.01.01.0
GA total481210616
GA avg1.01.61.32.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%78%100%
1.556%33%22%56%
2.511%11%0%22%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldNewport County
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldNewport County
Wins31
Draws11
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-2—1-2
Biggest losses—4-11-32-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldNewport County
Form86%14%
Att58%42%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chesterfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.90 @ Unibet
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.94 (league 1.39), Newport County = 0.88 (league 1.14)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 6.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.6% 10.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.3% 9.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 16.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1