Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • The Hive Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.38) 0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 31.7% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnet 0 15.2% 12.8% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarnetAccrington ST
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack44%22%
Defense67%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barnet Accrington ST
HATHAT
Played5510459
Wins20%60%40%25%20%22%
Draws20%20%20%50%20%33%
Loses60%20%40%25%60%44%

Form: Barnet: LLLWWDLWWD • Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWL

League goals

Metric Barnet Accrington ST
HATHAT
GF total6612437
GF avg1.21.21.21.00.60.8
GA total84125611
GA avg1.60.81.21.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarnetAccrington ST
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%67%78%
1.530%40%11%33%
2.510%10%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarnetAccrington ST
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricBarnetAccrington ST
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBarnetAccrington ST
Wins22
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-01-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-32-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricBarnetAccrington ST
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Accrington ST

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away5.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barnet = 1.04 (league 1.38), Accrington ST = 0.84 (league 1.14)

Accrington ST
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnet 0 15.2% 12.8% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1