League Two — England
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Holker Street
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.40) 1.21 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 25.5% 30.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Shrewsbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barrow 0 6.7% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.0% 12.1% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.0% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarrowShrewsbury
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack28%28%
Defense61%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barrow Shrewsbury
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%40%40%0%20%10%
Draws0%0%0%40%0%20%
Loses60%60%60%60%80%70%

Form: Barrow: LLWLWLLLWW • Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLL

League goals

Metric Barrow Shrewsbury
HATHAT
GF total459257
GF avg0.81.00.90.41.00.7
GA total751271320
GA avg1.41.01.21.42.62.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarrowShrewsbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%50%80%
1.530%30%10%70%
2.50%10%10%30%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarrowShrewsbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricBarrowShrewsbury
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBarrowShrewsbury
Wins11
Draws01
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-2—1-3
Biggest losses1-32-11-34-0
Goals For2213
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricBarrowShrewsbury
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Barrow or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Unibet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barrow = 1.49 (league 1.40), Shrewsbury = 1.21 (league 1.15)

Shrewsbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barrow 0 6.7% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.0% 12.1% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.0% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 30.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1