Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • EV Charger Points Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.38) 1.68 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.8% 21.5% 71.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.4%
0 - 2
19.7%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 13.9% 23.4% 19.7% 11.1% 4.7% 1.6%
1 4.0% 6.8% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
2 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCheltenhamFleetwood Town
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack23%54%
Defense0%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cheltenham Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%0%10%40%40%40%
Draws0%20%10%40%20%30%
Loses80%80%80%20%40%30%

Form: Cheltenham: LLLLLDWLLL • Fleetwood Town: WWDLDWLDLW

League goals

Metric Cheltenham Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
GF total2249615
GF avg0.40.40.41.81.21.5
GA total816249514
GA avg1.63.22.41.81.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCheltenhamFleetwood Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%90%90%80%
1.50%60%40%40%
2.50%30%10%10%
3.50%20%10%10%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCheltenhamFleetwood Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score336011

Penalties

MetricCheltenhamFleetwood Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCheltenhamFleetwood Town
Wins12
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-04-20-2
Biggest losses0-37-11-42-1
Goals For1142
Goals Against3742

Model comparison

MetricCheltenhamFleetwood Town
Form36%64%
Att30%70%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h40%60%
Goals30%70%
Total30.5%69.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fleetwood Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cheltenham = 0.29 (league 1.38), Fleetwood Town = 1.68 (league 1.14)

Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cheltenham 0 13.9% 23.4% 19.7% 11.1% 4.7% 1.6%
1 4.0% 6.8% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5%
2 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.8% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 71.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1