Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Colchester Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.38) 1.72 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 23.7% 55.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 2
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 7.1% 12.2% 10.5% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColchesterChesterfield
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack28%50%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colchester Chesterfield
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%20%10%60%40%50%
Draws60%40%50%40%20%30%
Loses40%40%40%0%40%20%

Form: Colchester: DDWLLDDLDL • Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDW

League goals

Metric Colchester Chesterfield
HATHAT
GF total461011718
GF avg0.81.21.02.21.41.8
GA total77145813
GA avg1.41.41.41.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColchesterChesterfield
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%90%80%
1.520%30%60%30%
2.50%10%20%10%
3.50%10%10%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColchesterChesterfield
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricColchesterChesterfield
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricColchesterChesterfield
Wins13
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-24-1
Goals For1242
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricColchesterChesterfield
Form33%67%
Att36%64%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chesterfield

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.54 @ Marathonbet
Away2.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Marathonbet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colchester = 0.93 (league 1.38), Chesterfield = 1.72 (league 1.14)

Chesterfield
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colchester 0 7.1% 12.2% 10.5% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 55.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1