League Two — England
Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 19:00 • Exercise Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.39) 1.68 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.5% 24.2% 52.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harrogate Town 0 6.8% 11.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.8% 11.5% 9.7% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.4% 5.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHarrogate TownCrewe
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack21%21%
Defense68%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Harrogate Town Crewe
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%40%40%60%40%50%
Draws20%20%20%0%20%10%
Loses40%40%40%40%40%40%

Form: Harrogate Town: WDDWLLLLWW • Crewe: WWWWLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Harrogate Town Crewe
HATHAT
GF total74116814
GF avg1.40.81.11.21.61.4
GA total66126511
GA avg1.21.21.21.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHarrogate TownCrewe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%70%80%
1.520%40%40%20%
2.510%20%20%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHarrogate TownCrewe
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricHarrogate TownCrewe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHarrogate TownCrewe
Wins14
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-10-31-0
Goals For3124
Goals Against3331

Model comparison

MetricHarrogate TownCrewe
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h15%85%
Goals14%86%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crewe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Harrogate Town = 1.01 (league 1.39), Crewe = 1.68 (league 1.14)

Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Harrogate Town 0 6.8% 11.4% 9.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
1 6.8% 11.5% 9.7% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.4% 5.8% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.5% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 52.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1