Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Meadow Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.38) 0.88 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.0% 39.1% 46.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.4%
0 - 1
25.8%
0 - 2
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Oldham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 29.4% 25.8% 11.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 10.2% 8.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotts CountyOldham
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack62%46%
Defense69%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notts County Oldham
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%20%40%30%
Draws20%20%20%40%60%50%
Loses20%60%40%40%0%20%

Form: Notts County: DLLWDWWLWL • Oldham: DDLDDLWWWD

League goals

Metric Notts County Oldham
HATHAT
GF total12517459
GF avg2.41.01.70.81.00.9
GA total5712516
GA avg1.01.41.21.00.20.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotts CountyOldham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%70%50%
1.540%40%10%10%
2.520%0%10%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotts CountyOldham
HATHAT
Clean sheets202145
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricNotts CountyOldham
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNotts CountyOldham
Wins23
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-21-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-11-2
Goals For4213
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricNotts CountyOldham
Form47%53%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Oldham and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Notts County = 0.35 (league 1.38), Oldham = 0.88 (league 1.14)

Oldham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notts County 0 29.4% 25.8% 11.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 10.2% 8.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 1.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.0% · Draw 39.1% · Away win 46.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1