Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Memorial Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.38) 0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 37.4% 39.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.1%
0 - 1
20.3%
1 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol Rovers 0 24.1% 20.3% 8.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 11.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol RoversMilton Keynes Dons
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack45%45%
Defense65%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol Rovers Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%33%45%33%60%45%
Draws20%17%18%17%40%27%
Loses20%50%36%50%0%27%

Form: Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWL • Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Bristol Rovers Milton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
GF total581311819
GF avg1.01.31.21.81.61.7
GA total310138412
GA avg0.61.71.21.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol RoversMilton Keynes Dons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%82%73%
1.527%36%55%27%
2.59%9%18%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol RoversMilton Keynes Dons
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score202202

Penalties

MetricBristol RoversMilton Keynes Dons
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBristol RoversMilton Keynes Dons
Wins42
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-35-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-12-3
Goals For2352
Goals Against1331

Model comparison

MetricBristol RoversMilton Keynes Dons
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Milton Keynes Dons

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Betfair
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ SBO
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bristol Rovers = 0.58 (league 1.38), Milton Keynes Dons = 0.84 (league 1.14)

Milton Keynes Dons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol Rovers 0 24.1% 20.3% 8.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.0% 11.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 39.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1