League Two — England
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.39) 1.23 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 24.8% 29.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Salford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 6.0% 7.4% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.7% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.2% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldSalford City
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack45%50%
Defense45%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Salford City
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%33%45%50%60%55%
Draws40%17%27%17%0%9%
Loses0%50%27%33%40%36%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWL • Salford City: LWWWLDWWWLL

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Salford City
HATHAT
GF total1192010717
GF avg2.21.51.81.71.41.5
GA total5141910515
GA avg1.02.31.71.71.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldSalford City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%82%82%91%
1.564%36%45%36%
2.518%18%27%9%
3.59%18%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldSalford City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldSalford City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldSalford City
Wins33
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-11-3
Biggest losses—6-21-32-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against2632

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldSalford City
Form36%64%
Att47%53%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chesterfield or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ SBO
Under 2.52.11 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.58 (league 1.39), Salford City = 1.23 (league 1.14)

Salford City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 6.0% 7.4% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.7% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.2% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 29.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1