Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • The Wham Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.38) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.7% 26.1% 29.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 7.5% 8.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.4% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.0% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STNewport County
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack20%25%
Defense65%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Newport County
HATHAT
Played46106511
Wins25%17%20%0%20%9%
Draws50%17%30%17%20%18%
Loses25%67%50%83%60%73%

Form: Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLL • Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Newport County
HATHAT
GF total4375510
GF avg1.00.50.70.81.00.9
GA total5813111021
GA avg1.31.31.31.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STNewport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%73%100%
1.510%40%18%55%
2.50%10%0%27%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STNewport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score044213

Penalties

MetricAccrington STNewport County
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAccrington STNewport County
Wins21
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-21-2
Biggest losses1-32-01-34-1
Goals For1222
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STNewport County
Form86%14%
Att44%56%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h60%40%
Goals68%32%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Accrington ST or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away4.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 1.45 (league 1.38), Newport County = 1.14 (league 1.14)

Newport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 7.5% 8.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.9% 12.4% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.0% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 29.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1