League Two — England
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • The Wham Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.39) 2.10 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.0% 18.8% 68.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.5%
0 - 1
12.9%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 6.1% 12.9% 13.5% 9.5% 5.0% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.3% 6.6% 3.4% 1.5%
2 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAccrington STSwindon Town
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack57%100%
Defense0%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Accrington ST Swindon Town
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%17%18%80%67%73%
Draws40%17%27%0%0%0%
Loses40%67%55%20%33%27%

Form: Accrington ST: DLLDDLWWLLL • Swindon Town: LWWLWWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Accrington ST Swindon Town
HATHAT
GF total437101222
GF avg0.80.50.62.02.02.0
GA total68146713
GA avg1.21.31.31.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAccrington STSwindon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%91%73%
1.59%36%73%36%
2.50%9%36%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAccrington STSwindon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score145101

Penalties

MetricAccrington STSwindon Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAccrington STSwindon Town
Wins24
Draws20
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-23-10-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-23-2
Goals For1233
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricAccrington STSwindon Town
Form33%67%
Att27%73%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Winner : Swindon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Accrington ST = 0.69 (league 1.39), Swindon Town = 2.10 (league 1.14)

Swindon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Accrington ST 0 6.1% 12.9% 13.5% 9.5% 5.0% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.9% 9.3% 6.6% 3.4% 1.5%
2 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 68.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1