Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • SMH Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.38) 0.70 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.7% 21.0% 12.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 7.4% 5.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 9.8% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chesterfield Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%50%33%42%
Draws33%17%25%33%17%25%
Loses0%50%25%17%50%33%

Form: Chesterfield: WWWLWDLDDWLW • Fleetwood Town: WWDLDWLDLWLW

League goals

Metric Chesterfield Fleetwood Town
HATHAT
GF total1392212618
GF avg2.21.51.82.01.01.5
GA total5141911718
GA avg0.82.31.61.81.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChesterfieldFleetwood Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%75%83%83%
1.567%33%42%50%
2.517%17%17%8%
3.58%17%8%8%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChesterfieldFleetwood Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score011022

Penalties

MetricChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Wins32
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-20-2
Biggest losses6-21-42-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against2642

Model comparison

MetricChesterfieldFleetwood Town
Form53%47%
Att55%45%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fleetwood Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away4.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chesterfield = 1.91 (league 1.38), Fleetwood Town = 0.70 (league 1.14)

Fleetwood Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chesterfield 0 7.4% 5.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 9.8% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 12.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1