Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Blundell Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.38) 1.49 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 20.6% 26.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grimsby 0 2.6% 3.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.4% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.5% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrimsbyGillingham
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grimsby Gillingham
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%50%50%67%33%50%
Draws17%33%25%17%50%33%
Loses33%17%25%17%17%17%

Form: Grimsby: WDWWDLWDLWWL • Gillingham: DWDWWWDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Grimsby Gillingham
HATHAT
GF total14102481018
GF avg2.31.72.01.31.71.5
GA total69153811
GA avg1.01.51.30.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrimsbyGillingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%92%67%
1.550%33%33%17%
2.533%17%17%8%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrimsbyGillingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricGrimsbyGillingham
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricGrimsbyGillingham
Wins23
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-10-24-11-3
Biggest losses1-23-00-13-2
Goals For7343
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricGrimsbyGillingham
Form50%50%
Att61%39%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Grimsby or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grimsby = 2.16 (league 1.38), Gillingham = 1.49 (league 1.14)

Gillingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grimsby 0 2.6% 3.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
1 5.6% 8.4% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.1% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.4% 6.5% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 2.4% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 26.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1