Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Stadium MK
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.38) 1.94 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 22.1% 50.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 3.9% 7.6% 7.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.1% 9.9% 9.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.4% 6.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilton Keynes DonsCrewe
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%71%
Defense14%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Crewe
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%67%50%50%50%50%
Draws17%33%25%0%17%8%
Loses50%0%25%50%33%42%

Form: Milton Keynes Dons: DWWDWLLDLWWW • Crewe: WWWWLLDLLWWL

League goals

Metric Milton Keynes Dons Crewe
HATHAT
GF total11122361016
GF avg1.82.01.91.01.71.3
GA total84127613
GA avg1.30.71.01.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilton Keynes DonsCrewe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%83%
1.558%25%42%17%
2.525%8%17%8%
3.517%0%8%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilton Keynes DonsCrewe
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricMilton Keynes DonsCrewe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMilton Keynes DonsCrewe
Wins24
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-42-01-4
Biggest losses2-30-31-0
Goals For5424
Goals Against3131

Model comparison

MetricMilton Keynes DonsCrewe
Form63%38%
Att69%31%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total58.5%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Bet365
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away4.20 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Milton Keynes Dons = 1.30 (league 1.38), Crewe = 1.94 (league 1.14)

Crewe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milton Keynes Dons 0 3.9% 7.6% 7.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.1% 9.9% 9.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.4% 6.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 50.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1