Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • The Croud Meadow
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.38) 0.74 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.2% 31.5% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 15.7% 11.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShrewsburyCrawley Town
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack57%71%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shrewsbury Crawley Town
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%17%17%17%17%17%
Draws33%17%25%33%17%25%
Loses50%67%58%50%67%58%

Form: Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDW • Crawley Town: LLLDLDWWLLLD

League goals

Metric Shrewsbury Crawley Town
HATHAT
GF total4596410
GF avg0.70.80.81.00.70.8
GA total7132081321
GA avg1.22.21.71.32.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShrewsburyCrawley Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%67%83%
1.517%58%17%58%
2.58%25%0%25%
3.50%17%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShrewsburyCrawley Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score336134

Penalties

MetricShrewsburyCrawley Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricShrewsburyCrawley Town
Wins12
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-1
Biggest losses1-34-00-24-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricShrewsburyCrawley Town
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals61%39%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Shrewsbury or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shrewsbury = 1.11 (league 1.38), Crawley Town = 0.74 (league 1.14)

Crawley Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shrewsbury 0 15.7% 11.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1