Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.38) 0.79 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.5% 24.7% 18.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cheltenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 9.0% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 11.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CountyCheltenham
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack57%57%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport County Cheltenham
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins0%33%17%33%0%17%
Draws17%17%17%0%33%17%
Loses83%50%67%67%67%67%

Form: Newport County: DWLLLLLDLLLW • Cheltenham: LLLLLDWLLLWD

League goals

Metric Newport County Cheltenham
HATHAT
GF total5611437
GF avg0.81.00.90.70.50.6
GA total11102181725
GA avg1.81.71.81.32.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CountyCheltenham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%50%83%
1.517%50%8%50%
2.50%25%0%25%
3.50%8%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CountyCheltenham
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score213336

Penalties

MetricNewport CountyCheltenham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewport CountyCheltenham
Wins11
Draws11
Losses55

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-22-0
Biggest losses1-34-10-37-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against3437

Model comparison

MetricNewport CountyCheltenham
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Newport County or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport County = 1.62 (league 1.38), Cheltenham = 0.79 (league 1.14)

Cheltenham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport County 0 9.0% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 11.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.5% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 18.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1